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Echocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.

TitleEchocardiographic Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study and Cardiovascular Health Study.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2016
AuthorsKonety, SH, Koene, RJ, Norby, FL, Wilsdon, T, Alonso, A, Siscovick, D, Sotoodehnia, N, Gottdiener, J, Fox, ER, Chen, LY, Adabag, S, Folsom, AR
JournalCirc Cardiovasc Imaging
Volume9
Issue8
Date Published2016 Aug
ISSN1942-0080
Abstract<p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>This study assessed the echocardiographic predictors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) within 2 population-based cohorts.</p><p><b>METHODS AND RESULTS: </b>Echocardiograms were obtained on 2383 participants (1993-1995) from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; 100% black) and 5366 participants (1987-1989 and 1994-1995) from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study). The main outcome was physician-adjudicated SCD. We used Cox proportional-hazards models with incident coronary heart disease and heart failure as time-dependent covariates to assess the association between echocardiographic variables and SCD, adjusting for Framingham risk score variables, coronary heart disease, and renal function. Cohort-specific results were meta-analyzed. During a median follow-up of 7.3 and 13.1 years, 44 ARIC study participants and 275 CHS participants had SCD, respectively. In the meta-analyzed results, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for predictors of SCD were 3.07 (2.29-4.11) for reduced left ventricular ejection fraction; 1.85 (1.36-2.52) for mitral annular calcification; 1.64 (1.07-2.51) for mitral E/A >1.5, and 1.52 (1.14-2.02) for mitral E/A <0.7 (versus mitral E/A 0.7-1.5); 1.30 (1.15-1.48) per 1 SD increase in left ventricular mass; and 1.15 (1.02-1.30) per 1 SD increase in left atrial diameter. A receiver-operating characteristic model for prediction of SCD using Framingham risk score variables had a C statistic of 0.61 for ARIC study and 0.67 for CHS; the full multivariable model including all echocardiographic variables had a C statistic of 0.76 for ARIC study and 0.74 for CHS.</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>In addition to reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, we identified other echocardiographic-derived variables predictive for SCD that provided incremental value compared with clinical risk factors.</p>
DOI10.1161/CIRCIMAGING.115.004431
Alternate JournalCirc Cardiovasc Imaging
PubMed ID27496550
PubMed Central IDPMC5010094
Grant ListN01 HC055019 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States