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Echocardiography, natriuretic peptides, and risk for incident heart failure in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study.
Tuesday,2012-11-06 12:26 America/Los_Angeles — eenright
| Title | Echocardiography, natriuretic peptides, and risk for incident heart failure in older adults: the Cardiovascular Health Study. |
| Publication Type | Journal Article |
| Year of Publication | 2012 |
| Authors | Kalogeropoulos, AP, Georgiopoulou, VV, deFilippi, CR, Gottdiener, JS, Butler, J |
| Corporate/Institutional Authors | Cardiovascular Health Study, |
| Journal | JACC Cardiovasc Imaging |
| Volume | 5 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pagination | 131-40 |
| Date Published | 2012 Feb |
| ISSN | 1876-7591 |
| Keywords | Aged, Biomarkers, Cardiomegaly, Echocardiography, Female, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Natriuretic Peptide, Brain, Peptide Fragments, Risk, Risk Assessment, Ventricular Function, Left |
| Abstract | <p><b>OBJECTIVES: </b>This study sought to examine the potential utility of echocardiography and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for heart failure (HF) risk stratification in concert with a validated clinical HF risk score in older adults.</p><p><b>BACKGROUND: </b>Without clinical guidance, echocardiography and natriuretic peptides have suboptimal test characteristics for population-wide HF risk stratification. However, the value of these tests has not been examined in concert with a clinical HF risk score.</p><p><b>METHODS: </b>We evaluated the improvement in 5-year HF risk prediction offered by adding an echocardiographic score and/or NT-proBNP levels to the clinical Health Aging and Body Composition (ABC) HF risk score (base model) in 3,752 participants of the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) (age 72.6 ± 5.4 years; 40.8% men; 86.5% white). The echocardiographic score was derived as the weighted sum of independent echocardiographic predictors of HF. We assessed changes in Bayesian information criterion (BIC), C index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI). We examined also the weighted NRI across baseline HF risk categories under multiple scenarios of event versus nonevent weighting.</p><p><b>RESULTS: </b>Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, abnormal E/A ratio, enlarged left atrium, and increased left ventricular mass were independent echocardiographic predictors of HF. Adding the echocardiographic score and NT-proBNP levels to the clinical model improved BIC (echocardiography: -43, NT-proBNP: -64.1, combined: -68.9; all p < 0.001) and C index (baseline: 0.746; echocardiography: +0.031, NT-proBNP: +0.027, combined: +0.043; all p < 0.01), and yielded robust IDI (echocardiography: 43.3%, NT-proBNP: 42.2%, combined: 61.7%; all p < 0.001), and NRI (based on Health ABC HF risk groups; echocardiography: 11.3%; NT-proBNP: 10.6%, combined: 16.3%; all p < 0.01). Participants at intermediate risk by the clinical model (5% to 20% 5-yr HF risk; 35.7% of the cohort) derived the most reclassification benefit. Echocardiography yielded modest reclassification when used sequentially after NT-proBNP.</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS: </b>In older adults, echocardiography and NT-proBNP offer significant HF risk reclassification over a clinical prediction model, especially for intermediate-risk individuals.</p> |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jcmg.2011.11.011 |
| Alternate Journal | JACC Cardiovasc Imaging |
| PubMed ID | 22340818 |
| PubMed Central ID | PMC3293933 |
| Grant List | P30 AG024827 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States R01 HL075366 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85085 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States R01 AG015928 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States U01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85081 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01 HC015103 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States R56 AG020098 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States AG-20098 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States N01HC55222 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85086 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01HC85086 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States AG-027058 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85082 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States AG-023269 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States N01 HC-55222 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85083 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-75150 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85080 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States R01 HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States R01 AG020098 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States N01HC75150 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85079 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States HL080295 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85239 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01HC85079 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States UL1 RR025008 / RR / NCRR NIH HHS / United States R01 AG027058 / AG / NIA NIH HHS / United States N01 HC045133 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01 HC035129 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States U10 HL110302-01 / HL / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States N01-HC-85084 / HC / NHLBI NIH HHS / United States |